Adaptation of Asia-Pacific Forestry to Climate Change – Phase II
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Project status
Completed
Project duration
2016.01 - 2018.12
Target economy
China, Chinese Taipei, Laos, Malaysia and Myanmar
Site location
N/A
Thematic area
Climate Change Adaption & Mitigation
Budget in USD(Total/APFNet)
899,200/499,200
Executing agency
Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia (UBC)
Supervisory agency
N/A
Implementing partner
N/A
Goal

To build upon the successful outputs of Phase I and continue improving the capacity of policymakers and forest managers in selected economies to develop robust adaptation strategies that enhance the health, productivity, and resilience of forest ecosystems to climate change.

Objectives

Improve and expand the essential tools developed in the previous phase, including climate, niche, and process-based models, to further facilitate and promote related research and applications across more locations in the Asia-Pacific region.

Continue to strengthen the scientific basis and provide adaptive management options to enhance the capacity of target economies’in decision making for climate change adaptation.

Expand the network established in Phase I and continue capacity building through workshops, communication and policy notes to further enhance information sharing and technology transfer.

Expected outputs

The ClimateAP model with future annual climate projections.

Assessments of the impact of climate change on forest ecosystems, key species and vegetation types.

Evaluations of adaptive forest ecosystem management strategies through model integration, development of indicators, and trade-off analysis.

A web platform for data access and visualization tailored to specific economies.

Networking and capacity building initiatives.

Impacts and Outcomes

The project advanced climate resilience in Asia-Pacific forests by developing tools like ClimateAP, which provides high-resolution, scale-free climate data for historical and future periods (2011-2100). Enhanced with annual projections and time-series functions, this tool enables precise local and regional climate analysis, addressing gaps in existing models. Additionally, climate niche models for 10 tree species and ecosystems revealed habitat shifts—such as northward migration of Chinese forest ecotypes and contraction of conifer species like Larix gmelinii—informing adaptive strategies like assisted migration.

 

Process-based models (FORECAST Climate) evaluated climate impacts on key ecosystems: teak plantations in Myanmar showed vulnerability to drought-induced productivity declines, while Malaysian mangrove forests faced soil carbon loss under warming scenarios. These models provided actionable insights for sustainable management, such as optimizing rotation lengths and mitigating fire impacts.

 

Capacity-building efforts included 4 training workshops (124 participants) and 11 international conferences, equipping stakeholders with tools for climate adaptation. Peer-reviewed publications and economy-specific web platforms disseminated findings widely, enhancing regional policymaking.

Evaluation type


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Evaluation result

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