Adaptation of Asia-Pacific Forestry to Climate Change – Phase I
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Project status
Completed
Project duration
2011.11 - 2014.10
Target economy
Western North America、Australia、China
Site location
Thematic area
Climate change mitigation and adaptation
Budget in USD(Total/APFNet)
1,139,200/1,039,200
Executing agency
Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, Canada
Supervisory agency
Canadian Forestry Service
Implementing partner
1.Environmental Canada 2.British Columbia Ministry of Forests, Mines and Lands 3.U.S. Forest Service 4.University of Melbourne 5.Chinese Academy of Forestry 6.Jiangxi Agricultural University 7.Nanjing
Goal

Apply advanced techniques, such as climate modeling and geospatial analysis, to understand the implications of climate change on forests in the Asia-Pacific region to support policy makers, forest managers, and forest dependent communities in climate-resilient forest management.

Objectives

1. Analyze current data to understand the impact of climate change in Asia-Pacific forest ecosystems and forest-dependent communities.

2. Develop high-resolution climate models ClimateWNA (Western North America) and ClimateAP (Asia Pacific)

3. Develop ecological models that define the bioclimate envelopes of three commercially important forest tree distributions and their changes under future climates.  

4. Establish pilot sites to develop adaptive, sustainable forest management practices

5. Create a network to strengthen information sharing and knowledge exchange.

6. Develop web-based scientific tools to share learning from the project.

Expected outputs

1. A report on the impacts of climate change on forests and forest-dependent communities in the Asia-Pacific region.

2. A high-resolution climate model generating climate data for historic (1901-2010) and future (2020s/2050s/2080s) timeframes.

3. An ecological model to analyze future climate impact and to map suitable climate niches for Chinese fir, Eucalyptus, and Douglas fir forests.

4. Establish four pilot sites and develop recommendations for adaptive forest management practices to be disseminated to stakeholders and policy makers.

5. A regional platform established to support network-building, information-sharing, and training workshops.

6. Web-based scientific research tool integrating interactive climate models, climate maps, and bioclimate maps to support stakeholder decision-making on vegetation restoration. 

Impacts and Outcomes

1. This project successfully addressed key challenges faced by forest systems in the Asia-Pacific region in responding to climate change. One of its major outputs was the development of ClimateAP—a high-resolution climate model providing historical and future climate datasets for the region. This model has become a benchmark tool for climate research, helping researchers and policymakers generate accurate climate prediction maps, which are essential for understanding and mitigating the impacts of climate change.

 

2. In addition, the project developed and applied ecological models to predict range shifts of key tree species such as Chinese fir, Chinese pine, Douglas fir, Masson pine and Blue gum (Eucalyptus globulus). While the model focused on these five species, the modelling technique can be applied to any tree species in any other location.  The project also used process-based models like FORECAST Climate and LANDIS-II to assess species and forest ecosystem responses to the changing climate. These tools were integrated into a framework that supports managers and decision-makers in making informed choices on sustainable forest management under a changing climate, enabling them to achieve both ecological and socio-economic objectives.

 

3. In terms of capacity building, the project organized 16 workshops and 7 international conferences, training 860 participants from 12 economies. It also established a network-based platform (including an interactive version of ClimateAP), further opening access to climate data and species niche maps. On this basis, the project achieved technology transfer, benefiting economies across the region.

 

4. In total, 28 research papers have been published or submitted to scientific peer-reviewed journals, advancing research on climate impacts and providing evidence-based scientific recommendations for sustainable forest management.